SP500 VGQ 10 stocks model

Models
14

PortfolioPerfection,

Not sure, this market timing question to me or Chris.

i am using both price and EPS downtrend in my designer model market timing.

  1. in the chart unemployment, 1930 to 1952 it goes up and down
    market was flat or in downtrend, employment rate is controlled by federal.

  2. interest rate is 0-1% controlled by federal for last 10 years, market was in up.

  3. $TNX yield, controlled by federal was down for last 15 years.

Stock Price and company Earnings belongs to company prospects can’t be controlled.

I have learned these stuffs from Fred Richard, AAII Dallas chapter, president. who claims he observed federal data for last 55 years in OUT OF SAMPLE :slight_smile: . he not able to make any money on federal/economic data.

One more myths, investing in benchmark/index will return 6% return over 20+ years period; it is not always true.
from 1929 to 1952,
0% return for 23 years investment in indexes.

Thanks
Kumar