Top 20 stock picks contest for 2018

Walter,

here, Live Portfolio.
https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516212

Thanks
Kumar

Alright! Things are shaping up! Here are the current contest entries;


Anyone using market timing rules? Are they allowed?

Here are my picks

ABBV
ALL
CME
CSCO
CW
DIN
ETFC
FAF
HPQ
HRS
HUM
INTC
LB
OC
PAYX
PGR
SAFM
SIVB
SPR
TSN

Happy new year and good luck to everybody with the contest & more importantly with real investing.

I will have the port running on Wednesday so that I can have Tuesday open prices loaded in.

Are we going to use variable slippage or stay with 0 slippage?

Here’s my 2018 entry:

https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516287

Last year I made two discretionary picks for the contest, GE and BRK, that was a bummer.

2018 picks

https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516308

Thanks to wwasilev (sorry if misspelled) for the template. Here’s my entry:

https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516331

Hi AniamK, You’re welcome! Could you make your entry public, too?

Good Luck,
Walter

Thanks - should be public now?

Almost there! If you make the Universe public, too, the search function will also find your model.

Here are my top-20 for 2018.
https://www.portfolio123.com/holdings.jsp?portid=1516344



Here, i have 1 more list for the contest 2018,
https://www.portfolio123.com/port_wiz.jsp?st=8

this system is rebalanced every 52 weeks; last rebalance is today;

this system designed to match with inovestor ETF models few months ago. It is 100% automated using p123.

all of my designer model uses this ranking system, except rev2 model.

sorry for the late entry; the system will discard today gain; it is ok; we are looking for 1 year performance. 1 day performance can be discounted.

This system held 25 stocks to compete 1 to 1 with 2018 Buy list of Eddy Elfenbein 25 stocks.

Let us see whether automated p123 system or long term stock picking expert over 10 year experience (Eddy Elfenbein) will perform good in 2018.

Thanks
Kumar



wwasilev, I’ve made the universe public as well.

Now can someone go through all these portfolios rank each stock with respect to how many contest portfolios it is in? :slight_smile:

That would be the hive mind portfolio…

Someone could make local copies of each port and then use the ‘Aggregate’ feature to count the common holdings. I would do that, but I’ve run out of live ports.

Walter

Out of curiosity, I made a spreadsheet by downloading and sorting by ticker the 12 individual 20 stock ports, to see if many stocks were held in common. I expected more commonality than existed! I did not include the Barron’s list or Kumar’s automated 25.

Out of 240 stock positions, only 18 stocks appeared in more than one port, and each of those 18 only appeared in two ports. They were:
ALK, AMAT, AMG, BSET, CSCO, FCAU, GILD, HPQ, INTC, LB, LEA, NLY, ORCL, OTEL, PDEX, RCMT, TSN, and UTHR. These were not concentrated in a couple of ports but seemed to be scattered.

That means there were 204 stocks out of 240 that only appeared once. I won’t bother to list them here unless someone wants them.

regallow/accomplished veteran investors,

Good analysis,

  1. please, help to classify these stocks each list with smallcap, midcap, largecap (3 lists based on marketcap and avg trading volume)
  2. please, also help to classify these stocks as 2 lists value stocks and growth stocks.

Curious to know, which list will out perform in 2018 apart from individual 20 stock picks.

Thanks
Kumar

Bob - Thanks for pulling the analysis - very interesting! Can you share the 240 tickers. I am planning to use the list with my best ranking system to keep top 20 with weekly rebalance to see if that will beat the winner.

Thanks for the analysis regallow.

Appearing twice may not really be a strong indicator though. On the other hand, considering the number of stocks available, maybe it’s a stronger indicator than I think.

I currently hold in my real portfolio: FCAU, GILD, LEA, OTEL, PDEX - so I hope that’s encouraging…

Here you go! The attached .xls has the ticker list. Since 18 of the tickers are in two (varying) ports, there are 222 unique tickers. Column A has “2” for the 18 duplicated.


PortHoldings_P123StockPickingContest2018.xls (15 KB)

fatmcb1 has taken an early lead (these are annualized returns and a bit nonsensical since it’s so early) with the EXPI pick that has exploded with a +%100 return…

But it seems that a lot of the entries are beating the market. So good job all…