Top 20 stock picks contest for 2018

Miro, most of my live portfolios most rebalance weekly and have the closing stock price to $1 or more and average daily dollar volume at $50k or more. The annual portfolio turnover on these are ~200%. I have never had to wait weeks for an order to complete. In fact, the vast majority complete same day, and slippage over 1% is rare.

Also note, these are the minimum thresholds set, which are far below the average.

A fair criticism would be trying to do this with large assets. such as a family office or pension funds. In my case its a portion of personal net worth allocated to these portfolios (mid 6 digit $). As a practitioner with these lower volume and market cap stocks, I disagree with your criticism.

These are my bread-and-butter stocks. They’re not “penny stocks,” I never have to wait weeks for the orders to complete, and I rarely have to pay a huge spread to complete it sooner. My average slippage is about 0.5% off opening price, but that’s because I usually buy stocks in more than one account (thus paying multiple commissions), I stagger my buys, and I’m usually buying five figures worth of stock. In this contest, we only buy and sell once a year, so slippage is minimized. We start with $100,000, which means each stock gets a $5,000 buy. That’s peanuts for a stock trading $50,000 to $100,000 daily. There’s not going to be any market impact at all.

Okay, I’ll bite (even though I should know better). Here’s my set of 20:
[url=https://www.portfolio123.com/holdings.jsp?portid=1515999]https://www.portfolio123.com/holdings.jsp?portid=1515999[/url]

I do not normally model for rebalancing periods this long, but…

I filtered the All Fundamentals universe a bit, specifying NOOTC, AvgDailyTot(60) > 1000000 with a CPI adjustment (in line with a personal preference), certain values not NA, and Country(“USA,BHS,BMU,CYM”). Then I applied a ranking system with three factors (a modified version of Greenblatt’s operating income test, a modified cash flow to market cap ratio, and one special sauce). Sometimes it works well, sometimes not. We’ll see.

DZSI
FAC
FLL
ICBK
INTT
PANL
PMBC
PRCP
QTRH
RCMT
SDPI
SEOAY
SSNF
SSNT
TCON
TGA
UPMKY
UTI
UWN
WSTL

Best Regards
Andreas

When running a search for ‘P123 Stock Picking Contest: 2018’, I don’t see Bob’s (regallow) model listed. I do see Miro’s, fatmcb1’s and mmasand’s.

Is anyone else experiencing that?

Walter

Here’s another:

https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516048

Thx,
Ed

Walter, I see a total of eight public 2018 stock picking ports in a search, including my own. Perhaps your session is using stale data and you need to log out and back in? Just guessing!

Hi Bob,

It’s weird. I still don’t see your model under search but I can go to it via the link. I noticed that your universe is private. Could that be it?

It’s something to figure out for the new year, I guess.

Best of luck and happy new year!

Walter

BTW, I did log out and close the browser.

Sorry Walter, I have made the universe public. Didn’t think to do that originally. Hope that fixes it!

Hi Bob, Your model is now found! I don’t know why universe visibility would matter.

Walter

https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516128

Wish you all, happy and prosperous new year 2018.

Thanks
Kumar


Kumar, You submitted a simulated port and not a live port. Was that intended?

Walter

Walter,

Please, help to convert into live;

Thanks
Kumar

Kumar, Simply save your current simulation as a Live Portfolio.

Walter

Walter,

here, Live Portfolio.
https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516212

Thanks
Kumar

Alright! Things are shaping up! Here are the current contest entries;


Anyone using market timing rules? Are they allowed?

Here are my picks

ABBV
ALL
CME
CSCO
CW
DIN
ETFC
FAF
HPQ
HRS
HUM
INTC
LB
OC
PAYX
PGR
SAFM
SIVB
SPR
TSN

Happy new year and good luck to everybody with the contest & more importantly with real investing.

I will have the port running on Wednesday so that I can have Tuesday open prices loaded in.

Are we going to use variable slippage or stay with 0 slippage?

Here’s my 2018 entry:

https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516287

Last year I made two discretionary picks for the contest, GE and BRK, that was a bummer.

2018 picks

https://www.portfolio123.com/port_summary.jsp?portid=1516308