Bitcoin falls -$3,000 in 5 minutes as a massive levered long position worth $1 billion was liquidated at 1:43 PM ET

Dear all,

As expected, Crypto is crashing this weekend.

Bitcoin falls -$3,000 in 5 minutes as a massive levered long position worth $1 billion was liquidated at 1:43 PM ET.

Over $2.5 Billion liquidated from the crypto market in the last 24 hours

MicroStrategy's, Bitcoin position (worth $54 billion) briefly turns red as Bitcoin falls below $76,000. Bitcoin fell below Microstrategy’s cost basis ($76,037) for first time since Oct 2023.

Tom Lee's 'Bitmine' ETH investment is currently at a $6 billion unrealized loss.

Bitcoin is now back at $78,000 level. There is currently a 89% chance Bitcoin falls under $75,000 again during this weekend according to Polymarket.

Note : I am short BTC and ETH (small positions in my personal account)

Regards

James

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Just put in 1% trailing stop (BTC short) and 2% trailing stop (ETH short) to lock in some of the profit.

I hope it gets to a price of 3500 again to buy some more ha. It was so high for so long and still is. Last time I bought BTC is size was via the greyscale trust because it was trading like 30% below NAV. Nowadays it honestly does not move nearly as much as it used to but I am sure hedge funds are making a lot with this volatility still

interested in buying more ethereum and btc. My last buy was in ethereum as I am seeing tokenization actually taking off

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SZ,

I don’t get this, can you elaborate eth is now trading at 2,300.

Regards

James

BTC! Hoping BTC dips

It was 3500 not too long ago. Always wished I bought more then

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Ah, you mean back to 2019 level.

I will be happy to take profit at 75,000 (BTC) and 2,150 (ETH) - trading at 5X leverage.

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SZ,

Just took profit on the BTC and ETH positions.

MSTR’s bitcoin holdings is now in red.

MSTR share trading down almost 10% overnight

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What made you want to use 5x leverage? And why cover now?

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SZ,

Most ppl trade 10-20X leverage on perpetual futures.

I am a bit more conservative so usually just trade 5X.

There is strong support at 75,000 support from the charts on Bitcoin. It is better to take profit at major support level (for shorts) since there is usually a strong rebounce.

Regards

James

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James, what is your position on Silver. I hear from reliable sources that physical silver is unobtainable. Dealers are not taking new orders, and physical price is $125/oz versus $80/oz spot price. You mentioned your silver dinner plates in an earlier post, do you eat from them?

Georg

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Georg,

As you know, I am currently living in Asia(HK) and we bought the physical silver plates (actually like silver bars - 10oz in weight each) from the bank.

Here is a photo what it looks like. I heard they are also available for sale in banks in Canada.

Regards

James

EDIT: As mentioned in a earlier post, there is currently a shortage of Silver to meet the industrial demand in China. I also saw a X-post on Elon Musk about the importance of Silver needed in many industrial processes.

Here is the article from Guardian on his viewpoint before the recent price drop.

Elon Musk warns of impact of record silver prices before China limits exports

This article is more than 1 month old

Metal ‘needed in many industrial processes’, says Tesla boss as supply fears grow over price surge and new rules

Graeme Wearden

Sun 28 Dec 2025 15.24 GMT

A surge in the price of silver to record highs this month has prompted a warning from Elon Musk that manufacturers could suffer the consequences.

Silver has risen sharply during December, part of a precious metals rally that also pushed gold and platinum to record levels on Boxing Day.

Analysts have attributed the jump in prices to expectations of US interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026, leading to increased demand for hard assets that protect against inflation and currency debasement.

New restrictions on silver exports from China, which begin on 1 January, have created supply fears while geopolitical worries have lifted demand for safe-haven assets.

Silver hit $79 (£58) an ounce for the first time last Friday, a new peak, up from $56 at the start of December, and just $29 an ounce at the start of 2025.

“This is not good. Silver is needed in many industrial processes,” Musk posted on X.

Uses for the metal include in electrification, solar power panels, electric vehicles and data centres, all areas in which demand has been rising, eating into silver inventories.

But as well as industrial applications, silver has a role as a monetary metal – a store of value.

Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG, said a “generational bubble” was playing out in silver, as more capital was drawn into the precious metals market.

“The rally in precious metals has been supported by expectations of multiple Fed rate cuts in 2026, alongside robust central bank and private investor buying. However, the dominant driver of late has been a severe structural supply-demand imbalance in silver, sparking a scramble for physical metal,” Sycamore said.

According to Bloomberg, much of the world’s readily available silver is sitting in New York awaiting the outcome of a US commerce department investigation into whether imports of critical minerals pose a national security risk. The review could pave the way for tariffs or other trade curbs on the metal, Bloomberg said.

Gold and silver are on track for their best years since 1979. Gold has risen by more than 70% this year to more than $4,500 an ounce, up from $2,623 at the start of 2025.

Spot platinum rose 5.3% on Friday to $2,338.20 an ounce, in its strongest weekly rise on record.

Both platinum and palladium, which are key components in automotive catalytic converters, have surged on tight supply, tariff uncertainty, and rotation from gold investment demand, with platinum up roughly 170% this year.

Elon Musk arguably does not need to worry too much about silver supply.

Tesla’s largest European Gigafactory in Berlin-Brandenburg is located roughly 250 km from KGHM Polska Miedź in Poland — the world’s largest silver producer by output, with silver produced as a by-product of its large copper mining operations (per the World Silver Survey).

In a scenario where Chinese exports are cut off, KGHM becomes the most critical strategic supplier for European / NATO industry.

On the flip side, the planned (as of 12/2025) increase in silver production between 2025 and 2026 appears relatively modest for a company of KGHM’s scale.

Despite being the world’s largest silver producer, the guidance implies only a low single-digit growth in silver output, suggesting limited short-term supply elasticity even at elevated silver prices.

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Last I read industrial demand for silver was down or forecasted to be down in 2025 vs 2024. We will see what happens in 2026. Volume in SLV has dried up so not as panicky as Friday.

Might be premature, but covering most of this SLV short for an extra gain vs Friday as panic seems to have been paused over the weekend based on intraday behavior. We shall see what happens the rest of the week. Letting the rest of the position run

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SZ,

Just curious, are you short SLV or short AGQ?

Like PAXG (tokenized gold), you can also buy/sell KAG (tokenized silver) that can be leveraged more than 2X if you have high conviction.

Regards

James

I went short SLV but I also like inverse ETFs in general just went with SLV this time

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I posted this yesterday. Today SLV up by 10%, and AGQ up 20%.

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Georg,

You should have took a short trip to Canada and stock up on some physical silver after posting the message yesterday.:slightly_smiling_face:

Regards

James

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A few interesting things to me:

a) Frustrating that I didn’t load up on BTC when I “almost” did. Though the only thing more frustrating may have been if I had—since I was going to use Mt. Gox.

b) Interesting that Saylor & Co are underwater. I wonder when things may start to break.

c) Wild to see the recent Epstein/BTC connections. I’ve always had somewhat of a distrust of the space; perhaps that was a premonition?

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James, wait until some people insist on physical delivery of the metal when forward contracts expire.

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Georg,

I am sure you already noticed this.

This time precious metals goes down together with crypto.

SPOT SILVER EXTENDS DECLINE, LAST DOWN NEARLY 18% AT $72.23/OZ

Regards

James