Citadel's Flagship Hedge Fund Wellington Ends October Up 1%, With 13.7% In Gains YTD - Reuters

Citadel Wellington’s October and YTD performance was just released this morning.

The largest multi-strategy fund is well known for its stable returns.The YTD performance beats S&P 500 by about 2.5% without any negative months this year. (and no negative year in the past 5 years - post before.) Citadel Wellington’s performance is like getting equity-market returns with bond-market risk (although not unbelievably strong like Bluecrest Capital or Medallion - both are not open for public no matter how much you have to invest).

2023 Citadel Wellington S&P 500
Feb 0.66% -3.54%
Mar 1.38% 4.11%
Apr 1.11% -0.03%
May 0.71% 0.56%
Jun 0.95% 5.48%
Jul 1.30% 2.86%
Aug 2.00% -1.34%
Sep 1.70% -6.23%
Oct 1.00% -2.13%
YTD 13.70% 11.03%

Ken Griffin’s Citadel Is Having a Good Year As Flagship Fund Surges 9% (businessinsider.com)

It seems that the fund has been making bets on commodities, which worked well. I guess the fund has a low beta based on its mutil-strategy status.

I think this table gives a clearer picture. Citadel Wellington has a very low beta (almost zero correlation to S&P 500)

Citadel Wellington S&P 500
2018 9.03% -4.40%
2019 19.32% 31.00%
2020 24.51% 18.40%
2021 26.58% 28.70%
2022 38.22% -18.10%
5 yr Sharpe :2.99 5yr Correlation to S&P : -0.08
2023
Feb 0.66% -3.54%
Mar 1.38% 4.11%
Apr 1.11% -0.03%
May 0.71% 0.56%
Jun 0.95% 5.48%
Jul 1.30% 2.86%
Aug 2.00% -1.34%
Sep 1.70% -6.23%
Oct 1.00% -2.13%
YTD 13.70% 11.03%

Exhibit A: Citadel undoubtedly uses quantitative risk tools (i.e. risk model) to control their risk and isolate alpha. We are only working with part of the tools needed to have excess risk adjusted returns.

They are doing on it a huge sum of capital. We don’t need something as elaborate but surely something is needed.

Do you have something specific in mind?

We’ve discussed it many times in depth - the forum is littered with discussion on it. It just ends up in the P123 black hole. I attempt to re-raise awareness every time I see a post that implies we need a risk model.

It’s on the top of the ideas heap for the next meaningful additions. Unfortunately the AI/ML project is taking much longer than anticipated. It’s one of those things…nothing seems to work until it does. It requires full commitment.

Making progress though. I think it will have appeal even for partial adoption , meaning for user that want to stick with whatever is working for them. And will also have collateral benefits to several other tools on the site.