Owner's Earnings formula

I came across a Twitter Post mentioning “Owner’s Earnings”. Is anyone familiar with it?

What: Measures how much cash can be taken out of the business and given to owners

:heavy_equals_sign: Formula: Net Income + (Depreciation & Amortization) +/- Non Cash Charges - Maintenance Capex +/- Changes in working capital

What is “Non Cash Charges” and can see “Maintenance Capex” mentioned in the forum a few times, but no formula for it.

Described in Investopedia - Owner Earnings Run Rate: What it is, How it Works, Pros and Cons.

https://x.com/BrianFeroldi/status/1743984215018914143?s=20

I got the other 9 Profit Ratios in a ranking system from the Tweet, just missing the last one, would apricate help to figure out the formula for it.

https://www.portfolio123.com/app/ranking-system/441870

I found one formula here, but i have not yet investigated if this makes sense:

Owner’s earnings is an old-fashioned way of talking about free cash flow. It dates from before the institution of the cash flow statement. It is essentially operating cash flow minus maintenance capex. It’s probably best to ignore the formula and just use that, since non-cash charges and changes in working capital are all adjusted for you in the cash-flow statement.

Maintenance capex cannot be computed from financial releases but has to be estimated on a company-by-company basis. Accounting standards do not require that companies specify which capital expenditures would be assigned to maintenance and which to growth. There are various ways to estimate growth capex, which can then be subtracted from total capex, but these are hardly foolproof and can present large problems. For example, one method is based on past sales growth, but if a company’s sales are slowing down or are rather variable, you get odd results and maintenance capex can end up being greater than total capex, which makes no sense.

For free cash flow, we ignore maintenance capex and just use total capex. But many analysts don’t do so.

Here’s a formula that you might try for maintenance capex: Max(0,Avg(Min(CapExA,DepAmortCFA),Min(CapExA,CapExA - LoopAvg(“CapEx(Ctr,Ann)/Sales(Ctr,Ann)”,7)*(SalesA-SalesPY)))). I have some doubts about how well it works, but I’ve used it quite often. This is for annual numbers; if you’re using TTM or 3-year averages you’ll have to change it a little.

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Should’nt one use only depreciation and not D&A?

What’s your reasoning there? It doesn’t seem intuitive to me to exclude amortization.

Depreciation is for tangible assets. Capex counts tangible assets only. Amortization is for intangible assets and many times intagible assets may be purchased assets like customer lists, etc that came along with a prior acquisition.

At least that is my understanding. Always open to being corrected.

I don’t think that CapEx counts only tangible assets. As far as I have been able to ascertain, patents, trademarks, copyrights, software development, and certain licensing fees can all be capitalized and amortized.

Thank you. So this is the Owner’s Earnings formula I get with your maintenance capex formula, but I can’t find any good use if it yet :face_with_monocle:

(NetIncCFStmtA + DepAmortA + LiabNonCurOtherA + (WorkCapA-WorkCapPY) - (Max(0,Avg(Min(CapExA,DepAmortCFA),Min(CapExA,CapExA - LoopAvg("CapEx(Ctr,ann)/Sales(Ctr,ann)",7)*(SalesA-SalesPY))))))

Edit, works ok together with other factors. Here are all 10 profitability factors from the tweet (+marketcap factor) on Easy trade USA.

(https://www.portfolio123.com/app/ranking-system/441870)